tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6676139083106872096.post4522053914883426612..comments2024-03-18T14:48:59.868-04:00Comments on Driving Play: On the Blue Jackets' Struggling Power PlayChasehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15818442698846247118noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6676139083106872096.post-54163598372793716272012-01-12T13:00:44.124-05:002012-01-12T13:00:44.124-05:00I definitely agree with Tom's article quite a ...I definitely agree with Tom's article quite a bit more. I don't think anybody would disagree Columbus has been unlucky in that stretch, and throwing their goaltending into the mix probably explains quite a bit more. I wouldn't be surprised at all if their true 'finishing talent' fell well below league average, so that could explain some of it as well.<br /><br />However, on the PP alone, we're only talking about differences of 10-15 goals in 400-500 shot samples which are extremely luck-driven. That's why I think using PPP/60 isn't an effective measure to judge PP success over that span. When you throw in even strength, it gets a lot less noisy.Chasehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15818442698846247118noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6676139083106872096.post-67029825907990873192012-01-12T10:27:15.070-05:002012-01-12T10:27:15.070-05:00Good stuff, but check out what Tom Awad had to say...Good stuff, but check out what Tom Awad had to say today.<br /><br />http://www.hockeyprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1228<br /><br />In part: "You don't fall short 116 goals purely by bad luck, as this would be a 3.5 standard deviation event, having roughly 1 chance in 5000 of occurring by chance"<br /><br />Note: the quote refers to the team on a whole, not just the power play.<br /><br />Also, I think you can get the mid-season shot split by using timeonice.com.<br /><br />Columbus: popular topic!Robert Vhttp://www.hockeyabstract.comnoreply@blogger.com