Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Was the Brian Elliott Extension a Good Idea?

Earlier today, the Blues decided to re-sign goaltender Brian Elliott to a 2-year extension worth $3.6 million in the midst of his first All-Star campaign. On the surface, this doesn't seem like a terrible move for St. Louis. After all, should Elliott keep form through the end of the season, another team would probably have to pay more than $3.6 million for his services. The biggest problem with this, however, is that Elliott's current form differs quite a bit from what we've seen over his career (numbers via

Career3 Teams16434353010.912

We've seen teams give out similar contracts based on similar samples, contracts which don't always turn out so well in the department of expected performance (See: Leighton, Michael). At the end of the day, however, a $1.8 million cap hit isn't going to handcuff a team beyond repair. If Elliott turns out to be at least average or a little better, St. Louis will have him locked in at a very good price. If a 22 game sample indeed regresses back to his career averages, the modest average annual value will make this an easy contract to trade or demote, a win-win for the Blues.

No comments:

Post a Comment